Metro Atlanta real estate · Home loans in Georgia & California

California in September: sales down 6.5%, the median holds near $900,000, and listings rise for the first time in eight months

The California Association of REALTORS® reports 260,410 annualized single-family sales in September, 6.5% fewer than a year ago, and a statewide median of $899,720 (+1.7%). Active listings rose year over year for the first time in eight months, homes sold in a median 29 days, and C.A.R. put September's 30-year average at 6.86%. County prices, what changed since August, and what it means for buyers and borrowers now that Freddie Mac's average is 7.24%.

−6.5%California home sales, September vs. a year ago (C.A.R.)

According to the California Association of REALTORS® (C.A.R.), California sold existing single-family homes at a seasonally adjusted annual pace of 260,410 in September 2026, down 3.4% from August and 6.5% from a year earlier. Sales have now stayed below 300,000 for 48 straight months. Prices held up: the statewide median was $899,720, down only 0.2% from August (C.A.R. says the usual August-to-September drop is 1.8%) and up 1.7% from a year ago.

−6.5%Sales vs. September 2025 (260,410 annualized)
$899,720Statewide median price, +1.7% year over year
+0.5%Active listings vs. a year ago, the first yearly increase in eight months
6.86%September 30-year average used by C.A.R.; Freddie Mac's Oct. 29 average is 7.24%

The numbers

September 2026FigureA year ago
Sales (annualized)260,410278,540
Median price$899,720$884,390
Price per square foot$434$427
Unsold inventory3.7 months3.6 months
Median days on market2932
Sales-to-list price ratio98.8%98.2%
Share of sales at $1 million or more35.9%—
Condo/townhome median$640,000−1.5%

Source: C.A.R. September 2026 home sales and price report (Oct. 19, 2026). Figures are for existing single-family detached homes unless noted.

By region and county

AreaSeptember medianvs. Augustvs. a year agoSales vs. a year ago
San Francisco Bay Area$1,325,000+4.2%+1.9%−3.1%
Southern California$895,000−0.6%+3.0%−9.1%
Los Angeles metro$855,000+0.6%+3.0%−8.0%
Inland Empire$601,030+0.2%+1.7%−10.2%
Central Coast$1,049,500−2.4%+4.4%+4.4%
Central Valley$500,0000.0%0.0%−2.5%
Los Angeles County$994,670+5.0%+1.2%−10.9%
Orange County$1,480,000+1.9%+5.6%−2.0%
San Diego County$1,050,000−3.7%+6.1%−12.2%
Riverside County$620,000−2.1%−0.6%−12.7%
San Bernardino County$531,090+1.7%+6.2%−6.0%
Santa Clara County$1,920,000+1.1%−4.0%+1.5%
San Mateo County$2,327,500+3.4%+8.3%−8.6%
San Francisco$2,054,000+9.5%+17.4%+6.2%
Alameda County$1,265,000−1.6%+1.2%−4.4%
Contra Costa County$870,000−0.6%+0.1%−5.7%

County sales are not seasonally adjusted, and a single month's county median moves with the mix of homes that sold, so read the yearly change rather than the monthly one.

Three things that stand out

  • Southern California is where sales slowed most. Sales fell 9.1% from a year ago across the region and 10.9% in Los Angeles County, 12.2% in San Diego and 12.7% in Riverside. Prices did not follow: Southern California's median is still up 3.0%.
  • Listings are building in Santa Clara. C.A.R. counts active listings up 26.4% from a year ago in Santa Clara County, and it is one of the few large counties where the median is lower than last year (−4.0%). Statewide, C.A.R. says listings rose mainly because homes are selling more slowly, not because more owners are selling.
  • Homes still sell close to asking. The sales-to-list ratio rose to 98.8% and median time on market fell to 29 days. California is slower than a year ago, but not a buyer's market the way metro Atlanta is drifting toward (Georgia MLS: pending sales −24.8% in September, about 5.6 months of supply by our math; see Atlanta in September).

Rates since September

C.A.R. uses Freddie Mac's weekly survey: the 30-year fixed averaged 6.86% in September, up from 6.67% in August and 6.35% a year earlier. Rates kept rising into October, peaked at 7.40% on Oct. 8 and 15, and Freddie Mac's Oct. 29 average was 7.24% after the Fed held on Oct. 28 (what the Fed decision means).

By my rough math (30-year fixed, principal and interest only), the same monthly budget borrows about 3.8% less at 7.24% than at September's 6.86%, and about 8.7% less than at 6.35% a year ago. These are national averages and my own illustration, not a quote; the rate you get depends on your credit, down payment, property and loan size.

What this means if you are buying in California

  • Many county medians are above the conforming limit. In 2026 a one-unit loan up to $1,249,125 is conforming in Los Angeles, Orange, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara and Alameda counties ($1,104,000 in San Diego). Orange ($1.48M), Santa Clara ($1.92M), San Mateo ($2.33M) and San Francisco ($2.05M) medians are all above that line, so many buyers there are choosing between a larger down payment for a conforming loan and a jumbo loan. Price both: jumbo rates have been at or below conforming this fall (2026 California loan limits). FHFA usually announces 2027 limits in late November.
  • Refresh your pre-approval. A letter written at September's rates overstates what you can borrow at today's.
  • Use the slower pace. With sales down and listings up in Southern California and Santa Clara, ask for seller credits toward closing costs or a rate buydown along with price.
  • Comparing with Atlanta? The California median is about 2.2 times metro Atlanta's ($399,900 on Georgia MLS in September). If you are weighing a move or a rental purchase, see buying an Atlanta investment property from California.

I am licensed for home loans in California and Georgia (in California I do loans only, not real estate brokerage) and work alongside your California agent. For the outlook, see C.A.R.'s 2027 forecast; for August, California in August; for loan programs, California home loans. Send me the home or the price range you are looking at and I will run conforming and jumbo side by side at today's rates.

Sources: C.A.R.: September 2026 home sales and price report (Oct. 19, 2026); Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (Oct. 29, 2026: 7.24%); FHFA: conforming loan limit values for 2026; Atlanta Agent Magazine: Georgia MLS September 2026 report (Oct. 14, 2026)

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